BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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San Diego St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 20 Conference: Mountain West Record: (15-3) Overall: (24-6) Overall Strength =   36.75

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    45.13  80  57    1 123 ( 18- 12) CS Fullerton            9.16     13.84                      
  2 11-11-2022 Home    W    34.55  82  75    1  74 ( 19- 14) BYU                    -1.43      8.43                      
  3 11-15-2022 Away    W    45.51  74  62    1  85 ( 13- 18) Stanford                9.54      2.46                      
  4 11-21-2022 Neutral W    44.53  88  77    1  48 ( 13- 18) Ohio St                 8.56      2.44                      
  5 11-22-2022 Neutral L    23.19  70  87    1   7 ( 25-  6) Arizona               -12.79     -4.21                      
  6 11-23-2022 Neutral L    33.43  74  78 1  1  17 ( 19- 12) Arkansas               -2.54     -1.46                      
  7 11-29-2022 Home    W    27.50  72  69    1  98 ( 22- 10) UC Irvine              -8.48     11.48                      
  8 12-02-2022 Home    W    13.46  95  57   ZZ 225 (  0-  3) Occidental            -22.51 *   60.51                      
  9 12-05-2022 Home    W    26.94  60  55    1 125 ( 20- 13) Troy                   -9.03     14.03                      
 10 12-10-2022 Neutral L    32.51  61  68    1  10 ( 25-  6) St Mary's CA           -3.47     -3.53                      
 11 12-12-2022 Home    W    54.55  88  54    1 145 ( 25-  8) Kennesaw               18.58     15.42                      
 12 12-20-2022 Home    W    28.42  62  46    1 273 ( 10- 20) UC San Diego           -7.55     23.55                      
 13 12-28-2022 Home    W *  36.70  71  55    1 143 ( 14- 17) Air Force               0.72     15.28                      
 14 12-31-2022 Away    W *  41.67  76  67    1  90 ( 18- 12) UNLV                    5.70      3.30                      
 15 01-07-2023 Away    W *  32.63  80  75    1 137 (  9- 21) Wyoming                -3.34      8.34                      
 16 01-10-2023 Home    W *  38.71  74  65    1  50 ( 22-  9) Nevada                  2.74      6.26                      
 17 01-14-2023 Home    L *  20.94  67  76    1  49 ( 21- 10) New Mexico            -15.03      6.03                      
 18 01-18-2023 Away    W *  36.70  82  76 1  1 103 ( 14- 17) Colorado St             0.72      5.28                      
 19 01-21-2023 Away    W *  37.45  70  60    1 143 ( 14- 17) Air Force               1.47      8.53                      
 20 01-25-2023 Home    W *  42.43  85  75    1  24 ( 24-  7) Utah St                 6.46      3.54                      
 21 01-28-2023 Home    W *  44.61  72  51    1 101 ( 19- 12) San Jose St             8.63     12.37                      
 22 01-31-2023 Away    L *  27.46  66  75    1  50 ( 22-  9) Nevada                 -8.51     -0.49                      
 23 02-03-2023 Home    W *  50.80  72  52    1  35 ( 23-  8) Boise St               14.82      5.18                      
 24 02-08-2023 Away    W *  41.19  63  61    1  24 ( 24-  7) Utah St                 5.21     -3.21                      
 25 02-11-2023 Home    W *  36.92  82  71    1  90 ( 18- 12) UNLV                    0.95     10.05                      
 26 02-15-2023 Away    W *  30.21  45  43    1 130 ( 11- 19) Fresno St              -5.76      7.76                      
 27 02-21-2023 Home    W *  42.95  77  58    1 103 ( 14- 17) Colorado St             6.97     12.03                      
 28 02-25-2023 Away    W *  38.69  73  71    1  49 ( 21- 10) New Mexico              2.72     -0.72                      
 29 02-28-2023 Away    L *  31.55  60  66    1  35 ( 23-  8) Boise St               -4.43     -1.57                      
 30 03-04-2023 Home    W *  37.88  67  50    1 137 (  9- 21) Wyoming                 1.91     15.09                      
      Averages              35.97  72.9 64.4

Best game:   54.55 = 34 point win over Kennesaw
Worst game:  13.46 = 38 point win over Occidental
Team stdev:   8.95